Updated on Saturday, October 31, 2026, 07:08 (New York time)
What is moving prediction markets and the cryptocurrencies this community follows today: Kalshi, Polymarket, new platforms, regulation, ETFs and the assets behind the 15-minute windows. Every item is an original summary with a link to the source, and the edition is refreshed twice a day.
Australia's ASIC said it is not currently convinced retail prediction markets are in the public interest, arguing their contracts have all the features of a bet. The regulator likened them to binary options, banned for retail clients since 2021, and noted no operator has yet applied for a licence in the country.
Franklin Templeton has launched two Nasdaq funds, FBEQ and FIBT, holding 95% in U.S. stocks and routing the dividends those companies pay into bitcoin exposure. Bitcoin starts at 5% of each fund and is trimmed to 4.5% at quarterly rebalances if it rises above that level, according to Bitcoin Magazine.
U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs posted $643.2 million in net outflows on October 30, their largest daily withdrawal since June, according to Farside data reported by Crypto News. BlackRock led the exits with $233.7 million, while ether funds lost a further $155.7 million the same day.
Binance outlined a four-part recovery plan and aims to start restoring withdrawals in phases, subject to security checks, after the roughly $6.3 billion theft. The exchange says it will cover losses with company funds, that about $3 billion in stolen assets has been frozen, and that a proof-of-reserves snapshot is due Monday, November 2.
Attackers took 18,270 bitcoin, worth about $1.4 billion, more than Tesla's 11,509 BTC and over twice the roughly 7,820 BTC in El Salvador's reserve, according to CoinDesk. TRM Labs attributed the attack with high confidence to North Korea's TraderTraitor group, though Binance has not named the attacker.
CFTC Chairman Michael Selig told CNBC the roughly $6.4 billion Binance theft shows why offshore exchanges should register in the U.S. and meet its cybersecurity standards. Selig also argued that on-chain traceability gives regulators an advantage.
Andreessen Horowitz, Uniswap Labs and the DeFi Education Fund urged Illinois to revise its proposed crypto tax rules, warning that treating decentralized exchanges as tax-collecting brokers would make compliance impossible. They also object to requirements to store customers' private keys and to tax transfers between a user's own wallets.
Tether reported $1.5 billion in third-quarter operating profit and $7.95 billion in excess reserves, nearly double June's $4.1 billion, according to its BDO-prepared attestation. Its bitcoin reserves were valued at $8.37 billion at the end of September.
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