Crypto Predicción
Data: official Kalshi settlements
The 9 assetsThe nine markets this platform watches window by window, each with its own page: how it settles on Kalshi and on Polymarket, how much it costs to trade it, its typical mistakes and its public signal track record.
15-minute Bitcoin market: official settlement, Kalshi and Polymarket, costs and its signal track record.
15-minute Ethereum market: official settlement, Kalshi and Polymarket, costs and its signal track record.
15-minute Solana market: official settlement, Kalshi and Polymarket, costs and its signal track record.
15-minute XRP market: official settlement, Kalshi and Polymarket, costs and its signal track record.
15-minute Dogecoin market: official settlement, Kalshi and Polymarket, costs and its signal track record.
15-minute BNB market: official settlement, Kalshi and Polymarket, costs and its signal track record.
15-minute HYPE market: official settlement, Kalshi and Polymarket, costs and its signal track record.
15-minute NEAR market: official settlement, Kalshi and Polymarket, costs and its signal track record.
15-minute Zcash market: official settlement, Kalshi and Polymarket, costs and its signal track record.
They all pose the same question — will the asset close above the opening target within 15 minutes? —, they all pay $1 or $0 and they all charge the parabolic fee of ≈0.07 × price × (1 − price) per contract. What changes by asset is the character: the depth of the order book, the typical amplitude of the move and the kind of headlines that send it out of control. And what changes by platform is the source that settles: CF Benchmarks in Kalshi's series, Chainlink in Polymarket's global Up/Down markets. Start with the general FAQ or the complete guide to these markets.
The result data on this site are the official Kalshi settlements.
