Data: official Kalshi settlements
Predictions · BTCYou are looking for the Bitcoin prediction. There are two industries with that name: the one that publishes figures for 2026 or 2030 that nobody will ever check, and the one that predicts 15 minutes ahead and leaves the result written down. This page belongs to the second —and teaches you to tell them apart—.
Our engine watches every 15-minute BTC window and only publishes a prediction —direction, probability and confidence— when its conditions are met; every published prediction is settled with the official result. The current one is in the app:
Free, with sign-up by email or Google. No payments to "unlock" predictions: here the prediction is judged by its record, not by its price.
Bitcoin concentrates the forecasting industry: banks publishing annual targets (and revising them), "cycle" models and armies of content generated to capture the "bitcoin prediction 2026" search. The test of its value is simple and almost nobody passes it: look for the settled record of whoever is forecasting. The 2021 targets for 2022, the 2023 targets for 2024… are published; almost no site that signed them keeps a page with what it said and what happened. We apply the opposite rule: a prediction that is not settled against an official result and does not stay in a public record is not a prediction — it is content.
This platform's BTC predictions meet all four, window by window. Its market is explained in Bitcoin in 15 minutes and the general questions, in the FAQ.
The only one we publish and sign: the one for each 15-minute window. Our engine issues for BTC a prediction —likely direction (UP or DOWN), probability in % and confidence level— before each window closes, settles it with the market's official result and leaves it in a permanent public record. The current window's prediction is in this platform's signals view, and its record of hits and misses, in the public statistics.
Nobody knows, and no page that gives you the figure can prove otherwise with a settled record of its own past forecasts. Years-ahead targets —from banks, models or AI-generated— are opinions with a never-checked expiry date. Treat them as entertainment; for decisions, stick with short-horizon predictions whose result you can verify yourself.
Here: the platform publishes BTC predictions live (with free sign-up) and keeps its full statistics —signals issued, correct, incorrect and the system's paper result— open without sign-up at /en/estadisticas. It is the standard you should demand from any prediction service.
The result data on this site are the official Kalshi settlements.