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Kalshi signals: 15-minute probabilities, with a public record

Updated November 1, 2026 · Data: official Kalshi settlements

Free with registration

Kalshi runs prediction markets where each 15-minute window of a cryptocurrency settles on a simple question: will it close above or below its target? Crypto Prediction watches those markets for BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, BNB, HYPE, NEAR and ZEC, publishes live the probabilities its private analysis engine considers significant, and judges every signal against the official result when its window closes. What hit and what missed stays in a public record anyone can recompute. Last updated: October 31, 2026, 20:10 (New York time). Regenerated every 15 minutes.

Settled signals
1870
since the public record began
Historical hit rate
92.1%
1722 correct · 148 incorrect, counted the same
Paper result
+$374,382.17
gross, before fees
After estimated fees
+$287,755.26
the system trades on paper, no real money

How to read a signal

The probability is the market price. A 92% means the market prices that signal as if it would hit 92 times out of 100: a hit earns little per contract and a miss loses almost everything staked. So the useful question is not "will it hit?" but "does the price pay for the times it misses?".

Confidence is a different measure: it counts how many legs back the signal (LOW, MEDIUM or HIGH). It is not a second probability — a signal can show 96% with LOW confidence. The full explanation is in the guide how to read a probabilistic signal.

The nine markets watched

Each asset has its own page with its character, its figures and its chart: BTC 15 minutes · ETH 15 minutes · SOL 15 minutes · XRP 15 minutes · DOGE 15 minutes · BNB 15 minutes · HYPE 15 minutes · NEAR 15 minutes · ZEC 15 minutes. New to these markets? Start with what Kalshi is and the 15-minute prediction markets guide.

Where to watch the live signals

Signals at the moment they are published live in the panel, with free registration (email or Google, no password): watch the live signals. They are also announced on the public Telegram channel @CRYPTOPREDICCION, with their result on settlement. And with no account at all, always: the full record in statistics — with the downloadable CSV of every settled signal — and practice without money in the DEMO.

No smoke

This project does not sell price forecasts or promise returns: it publishes probabilities for 15-minute windows and the verifiable record of what happened to them. The system trades its signals on paper (no real money); the results shown are gross except for the after-fee estimate indicated. The past does not guarantee future results, and trading 15-minute markets with real money is high risk.

Primary sources

The result data on this site are the official Kalshi settlements.